Will car insurance go Down or Up in 2025

Car insurance is a necessary expense for drivers, but it can be a significant financial burden.

In recent years, many drivers have seen their premiums rise sharply.

But will 2025 bring some relief? Let’s dive into the data and see what’s really going on.

The Rising Costs

Over the past few years, car insurance premiums have increased dramatically.

According to data from Quotezone.co.uk, the average cost of car insurance in the UK rose from £556 in the summer of 2022 to £995 in February 2024, an increase of almost 80%. This steep rise has been driven by several factors, including rising inflation, increased repair costs, and the growing number of expensive electric vehicles on the road.

A Turnaround in 2025?

However, 2025 has brought some relief. Recent data shows that car insurance premiums have actually fallen by 7% compared to last year, with the average premium now at £769.19.

This marks the first annual decrease in car insurance costs in almost three years. The decline has been attributed to increased competition in the insurance market and a stabilization of repair costs.

Factors Contributing to the Decline

Several factors have contributed to the recent decrease in car insurance premiums:

  • Increased Competition: Insurers have started to offer more competitive rates to attract customers.
  • Stabilization of Repair Costs: The cost of spare parts and labor has stabilized, reducing the overall cost of repairs.
  • Improved Risk Management: Insurers have become better at managing risks, leading to lower claims costs.

Regional Variations

While the overall trend is a decrease in premiums, there are regional variations. For example, younger drivers have seen the largest reductions in premiums, with those under 30 experiencing a 17% decrease in their insurance costs.

Drivers aged 50-60 also saw significant reductions, while older drivers experienced smaller decreases.

Summary Table

YearAverage Cost
2025£769.19 annually
2024£995 annually
2023£848.97 annually
2022£556 annually

Factors That Could Influence Car Insurance in 2025

To understand the potential trends for 2025, we need to examine the key factors that insurers consider:

FactorPotential Impact on Premiums
Claims FrequencyFewer claims mean lower premiums; more claims push them up.
Vehicle TechnologyAdvanced safety features could reduce accidents and claims.
InflationRising repair costs and medical expenses can increase premiums.
Regulatory ChangesNew laws may influence insurance practices, for better or worse.
Competition Among InsurersMore competition could drive prices down.

What Experts Say

Here’s a closer look at what experts and industry trends suggest about the state of car insurance:

1. Claims Frequency Post-Pandemic

With traffic levels stabilising post-pandemic, insurers report fewer extreme disruptions. Fewer accidents may lead to lower premiums, but don’t expect miracles if claims still come in at pre-pandemic levels.

2. Vehicle Technology

Modern cars are equipped with:

  • Autonomous Emergency Braking (AEB)
  • Lane-Keeping Assistance
  • Blind Spot Detection

These features reduce accidents, but the flip side is higher repair costs for these high-tech vehicles. While this tech can lead to fewer claims, repair complexity may offset the savings.

Apparently, cars are now smarter than some drivers. You’re safe unless your car decides it’s tired of you ignoring its beeping reminders!

3. Economic Pressures

Inflation remains a significant wildcard. Rising costs for parts, labour, and medical expenses mean that insurers may need to pass these costs to policyholders.


What Could Drive Prices Down?

Here are some positive developments that could make 2025 the year of lower premiums:

a) Government Interventions

The UK government has been exploring measures to tackle insurance costs, such as stricter regulation of claims management companies to reduce fraudulent claims.

b) Telematics Policies

Usage-based insurance (aka black box insurance) is gaining popularity. Drivers who demonstrate safe habits can save significantly.

c) Eco-Friendly Incentives

Electric vehicles (EVs) and hybrids may enjoy lower premiums as insurers adjust pricing for their lower risk profiles.

(Fun thought: Maybe insurers will start giving discounts for “no sudden acceleration”—a win for you and your EV’s battery!)


What Could Keep Prices Up?

Unfortunately, not everything is rosy. Some challenges could maintain or even increase premiums:

  1. Fraudulent Claims: Despite efforts to curb it, fraud remains a drain on the system, costing insurers billions annually.
  2. Severe Weather Events: Climate change has brought more frequent floods and storms, leading to increased claims for vehicle damage.
  3. New Drivers: A steady stream of new, inexperienced drivers can contribute to higher accident rates, raising premiums overall.

Practical Tips to Save on Car Insurance in 2025

Whether premiums go up or down, here’s how you can ensure you’re not overpaying:

  1. Shop Around: Use comparison websites to find the best deals.
  2. Bundle Policies: If you’ve got home insurance, see if the same provider offers a discount for bundling.
  3. Increase Voluntary Excess: A higher excess can lower your premium—just make sure it’s affordable if you need to claim.
  4. Improve Your Security: Install an approved alarm or tracking device.
  5. Limit Mileage: Fewer miles mean less risk, and some insurers reward low mileage.

The Verdict: Will Car Insurance Go Down?

While there’s optimism about reduced claims and smarter pricing methods, inflation and economic pressures may counteract these gains. The result? Premiums might not skyrocket, but don’t expect drastic reductions either.

Author
Caroline Bloor
Caroline Bloor is a highly experienced freelance content creator specializing in personal finance and consumer affairs. She works with national brands such as Good Housekeeping, Woman & Home, Red, Woman's Weekly, John Lewis, Saga, and Woman's Clever with Cash. Caroline offers her expertise in contract or part-time editorial and commercial content creation roles. As a successful cross-platform content creator, she is skilled in both print and digital formats.

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